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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+5.22vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.26+6.47vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95+7.24vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+3.11vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44+4.25vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.72+6.82vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+0.96vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+1.35vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.71-1.25vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.78-2.68vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.59-1.67vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University2.10-6.70vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-5.27vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00-4.34vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.98-9.27vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.21-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Tulane University2.0610.9%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University1.264.9%1st Place
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10.24Boston University0.953.5%1st Place
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7.11University of Miami2.329.1%1st Place
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9.25George Washington University1.445.0%1st Place
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12.82Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
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7.96St. Mary's College of Maryland1.686.3%1st Place
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9.35University of Vermont0.875.0%1st Place
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7.75Webb Institute1.716.8%1st Place
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13.48Christopher Newport University0.651.4%1st Place
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8.32U. S. Naval Academy1.787.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.593.6%1st Place
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6.3Jacksonville University2.1011.3%1st Place
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8.73North Carolina State University1.575.8%1st Place
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10.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.6%1st Place
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6.73Fordham University1.988.8%1st Place
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9.28Cornell University1.215.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Blake Goodwin | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 25.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Calvin Schmid | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 33.7% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Jacob Zils | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.