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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+6.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.78+5.80vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.37vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy4.16+2.12vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.81+2.42vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+2.20vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.31+2.46vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.49+0.63vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.64-0.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.87vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.47-2.05vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-5.19vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-2.96vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.00-3.59vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.82-3.64vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-2.02vs Predicted
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17Northwestern University1.61-1.72vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.69-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.09St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.8Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.46Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.07College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.81Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.36Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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13.98Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.28Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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14.88University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Will Stocke | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mac Mace | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Ted Green | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Graham Gardner | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% |
| George Powell | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 21.2% | 37.2% |
| William Pilling | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.