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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.18vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.35+1.92vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+0.17vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.20-1.02vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.38-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.28Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.18William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.92Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.98Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.8% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Celone | 19.0% | 19.7% | 19.9% | 16.5% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Scott Guinn | 19.7% | 20.2% | 21.5% | 15.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 21.2% | 28.4% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 18.7% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 12.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 9.2% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 22.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.