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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.01+5.15vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+4.58vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.68+7.99vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.77vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.24vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.59+1.77vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.34vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-2.86vs Predicted
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9Hampton University0.58+2.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy-0.22+4.11vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-3.38vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy0.94-1.47vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.47vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.31-5.36vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.89-8.46vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University-0.20-1.71vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University-0.10-3.11vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University0.34-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Georgetown University2.0110.8%1st Place
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6.58Georgetown University1.8610.0%1st Place
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10.99Old Dominion University0.682.5%1st Place
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7.77Old Dominion University1.596.6%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Naval Academy1.648.3%1st Place
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7.77Georgetown University1.597.1%1st Place
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9.34St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.8%1st Place
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5.14U. S. Naval Academy2.2813.6%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University0.582.7%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.1%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston1.606.8%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Naval Academy0.943.8%1st Place
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10.53St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.5%1st Place
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8.64College of Charleston1.315.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy1.899.4%1st Place
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14.29Old Dominion University-0.200.9%1st Place
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13.89Georgetown University-0.101.4%1st Place
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12.44Georgetown University0.341.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughes | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
| Diogo Silva | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Jack Welburn | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 24.9% |
| Jonathan Weed | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Max Kleha | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 2.9% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Younger | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 17.7% | 26.0% |
| Anson Walker | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 21.8% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.