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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.01+5.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.89+4.47vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+6.30vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+3.79vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University0.34+7.44vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.73vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.31+1.78vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.86-1.15vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.60-1.31vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.68+1.14vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University1.59-3.29vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University-0.10+1.96vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.94-2.81vs Predicted
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14Hampton University0.58-2.56vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.64-7.68vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-5.72vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-2.81vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University-0.20-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Georgetown University2.0111.6%1st Place
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6.47U. S. Naval Academy1.899.8%1st Place
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9.3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.164.6%1st Place
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7.79Old Dominion University1.597.3%1st Place
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12.44Georgetown University0.342.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Naval Academy2.2812.0%1st Place
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8.78College of Charleston1.315.0%1st Place
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6.85Georgetown University1.868.2%1st Place
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7.69College of Charleston1.606.3%1st Place
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11.14Old Dominion University0.682.5%1st Place
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7.71Georgetown University1.597.2%1st Place
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13.96Georgetown University-0.101.5%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Naval Academy0.943.8%1st Place
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11.44Hampton University0.583.4%1st Place
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7.32U. S. Naval Academy1.647.1%1st Place
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10.28St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.4%1st Place
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14.19U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.8%1st Place
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14.04Old Dominion University-0.201.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughes | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Luke Monnich | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Miles Wolff | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Megan Geith | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anson Walker | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Max Kleha | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 26.8% |
| Parker Younger | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.