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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.13+3.15vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.17vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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5Villanova University1.24-1.76vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.35-0.10vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.38-2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.15Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.17William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.08Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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3.24Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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5.9Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.4% | 26.1% | 17.5% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 19.8% | 17.3% | 12.7% |
| Scott Guinn | 19.5% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 12.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 18.6% | 20.5% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 20.2% | 28.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 8.3% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 16.6% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 9.5% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 23.2% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.