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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.64+6.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.01+4.27vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.89+3.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+2.66vs Predicted
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5Hampton University0.58+6.43vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University0.34+6.48vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.59+0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.94+2.44vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.85vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University1.59-2.52vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.60-3.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-1.31vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.68-2.11vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University-0.20+0.18vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.31-6.14vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-6.61vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy-0.22-2.90vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University-0.10-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33U. S. Naval Academy1.648.2%1st Place
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6.27Georgetown University2.0110.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy1.899.6%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University1.868.5%1st Place
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11.43Hampton University0.582.9%1st Place
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12.48Georgetown University0.341.9%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University1.597.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Naval Academy0.943.5%1st Place
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5.15U. S. Naval Academy2.2814.8%1st Place
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7.48Old Dominion University1.597.6%1st Place
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7.73College of Charleston1.607.5%1st Place
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10.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.6%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University0.683.0%1st Place
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14.18Old Dominion University-0.201.1%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston1.314.5%1st Place
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9.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.163.8%1st Place
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14.1U. S. Naval Academy-0.221.0%1st Place
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13.61Georgetown University-0.101.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Hughes | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Walshe | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Luke Monnich | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
| Benjamin Smith | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Robert Ziman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 14.8% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Weed | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Max Kleha | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Megan Geith | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Parker Younger | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 25.4% |
| Miles Wolff | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Henry Haddon | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Isabella Fadullon | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 25.8% |
| Anson Walker | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.