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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+2.17vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.20vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.53vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+0.18vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.38-1.30vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.2William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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2.47Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.08Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.7Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.23University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 19.2% | 22.4% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.2% | 20.3% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 33.1% | 25.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 13.2% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 8.4% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 22.4% | 29.1% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.