Race 1A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Green 9.8% 8.8% 9.7% 10.2% 9.8% 10.9% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 9.2% 4.0%
John Majernik 9.4% 8.9% 8.3% 10.8% 8.8% 9.8% 12.0% 10.7% 9.2% 7.8% 4.5%
Benjamin Honig 14.1% 14.4% 13.2% 11.3% 10.8% 11.3% 8.3% 6.7% 6.0% 2.7% 1.1%
Spencer Barnes 14.5% 15.8% 14.3% 11.2% 12.0% 10.7% 7.8% 6.0% 4.2% 2.7% 0.9%
Lucas Thress 12.6% 10.7% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.2% 9.8% 8.2% 6.7% 4.3% 2.3%
Will Donovan 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.6% 11.5% 10.9% 9.2% 4.4%
Madeleine Rice 9.6% 9.2% 10.4% 10.2% 10.8% 8.2% 11.5% 10.2% 10.1% 7.6% 2.3%
Lars Osell 9.8% 8.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 10.8% 8.8% 11.3% 9.4% 8.2% 4.0%
Isabelle Gautier 2.0% 2.0% 1.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 4.4% 6.8% 8.6% 14.4% 50.0%
James Owen 5.2% 6.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.5% 7.3% 8.9% 9.9% 13.5% 17.0% 13.8%
Patrick Modin 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 6.5% 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 12.4% 16.9% 13.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.