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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+2.20vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.77+0.51vs Predicted
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3Hampton University-0.35+2.92vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.13+1.17vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.38-0.26vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.20-0.99vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.60-0.67vs Predicted
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8William and Mary1.29-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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2.51Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.92Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.74Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.01Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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6.33University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.12William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 20.4% | 19.1% | 21.5% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 32.1% | 26.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.6% | 22.4% | 27.8% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 20.1% | 12.1% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 17.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 7.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 11.1% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 20.2% | 38.9% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.5% | 21.6% | 20.6% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.