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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.29+2.13vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.55vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+0.30vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.04vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.38-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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3.28Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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2.45Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.08Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.96Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.63Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Guinn | 18.9% | 23.4% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Celone | 19.1% | 19.2% | 20.6% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.3% | 24.7% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 11.3% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.0% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 20.6% | 11.8% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 39.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 21.4% | 29.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 16.8% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.