Race 2A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Majernik 8.8% 9.6% 11.4% 9.5% 9.0% 9.4% 10.7% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 3.7%
Isabelle Gautier 2.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.3% 3.1% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 9.1% 14.4% 50.0%
Benjamin Honig 14.5% 13.0% 13.5% 12.9% 11.2% 9.2% 8.7% 6.9% 6.6% 2.6% 0.9%
Thomas Green 8.1% 10.1% 9.9% 9.7% 9.9% 10.8% 9.4% 10.7% 9.8% 8.8% 2.9%
Lars Osell 8.0% 8.8% 9.0% 9.7% 10.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 4.5%
Madeleine Rice 9.4% 10.0% 10.5% 10.7% 10.2% 10.5% 11.1% 8.8% 8.3% 7.2% 3.1%
Lucas Thress 11.7% 13.0% 10.6% 10.3% 10.6% 9.6% 10.2% 8.9% 7.8% 5.1% 2.1%
Spencer Barnes 17.0% 13.8% 14.4% 12.2% 10.5% 9.7% 8.2% 6.0% 4.8% 2.5% 0.8%
James Owen 5.4% 5.7% 5.3% 5.8% 7.3% 7.5% 8.6% 10.8% 12.3% 17.6% 13.7%
Will Donovan 9.1% 9.5% 7.9% 10.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.3% 11.2% 9.8% 9.6% 4.8%
Patrick Modin 5.9% 5.0% 5.1% 6.7% 8.0% 9.3% 8.6% 10.1% 12.8% 14.9% 13.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.