← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania1.71+3.67vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.29vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.18+3.01vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania1.45+1.40vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University0.69+2.08vs Predicted
-
6Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.33vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-1.07vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.54-3.00vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.27+0.18vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-2.88vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania1.28-5.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.67University of Pennsylvania1.7113.6%1st Place
-
4.29SUNY Maritime College1.8815.8%1st Place
-
6.01Fordham University1.188.9%1st Place
-
5.4University of Pennsylvania1.4510.8%1st Place
-
7.08Fordham University0.695.9%1st Place
-
5.67Palm Beach Atlantic University1.269.5%1st Place
-
5.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.227.9%1st Place
-
5.0Fordham University1.5412.0%1st Place
-
9.18SUNY Maritime College-0.271.7%1st Place
-
7.12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.484.2%1st Place
-
5.66University of Pennsylvania1.289.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Honig | 13.6% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
Spencer Barnes | 15.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Will Donovan | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 5.3% |
Madeleine Rice | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
James Owen | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 16.0% | 13.2% |
Thomas Green | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
Lars Osell | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
Lucas Thress | 12.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
Isabelle Gautier | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 15.7% | 49.5% |
Patrick Modin | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 13.2% |
John Majernik | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.