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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+2.21vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.22vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.60+2.30vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.20+0.08vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.13-0.87vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.38-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.22William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.08Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.13Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.65Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 18.6% | 22.1% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.3% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.1% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 12.3% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 22.8% | 36.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 16.2% | 19.3% | 10.8% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 13.5% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 30.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.