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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.29+2.12vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.77+0.49vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+0.23vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.13+1.19vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.38-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+0.27vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.20-1.90vs Predicted
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8Hampton University-0.35-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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2.49Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.23Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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5.19Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.73Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.27University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.1Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.86Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Guinn | 21.3% | 22.1% | 19.4% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 31.8% | 26.5% | 18.4% | 12.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 19.9% | 18.6% | 21.0% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 13.5% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.7% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 7.9% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% | 38.4% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 13.4% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 22.6% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.