Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lars Osell 8.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 10.1% 10.5% 11.0% 10.4% 7.8% 4.5%
Benjamin Honig 14.4% 14.3% 12.6% 11.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.5% 1.1%
Thomas Green 9.1% 9.6% 8.7% 9.4% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 13.1% 9.4% 7.4% 3.9%
Spencer Barnes 14.9% 14.6% 15.2% 13.2% 11.3% 9.7% 7.2% 5.7% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9%
John Majernik 9.3% 9.9% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 11.1% 9.0% 10.5% 8.7% 8.8% 3.5%
Madeleine Rice 10.6% 9.0% 10.9% 10.2% 10.2% 11.5% 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 6.7% 3.1%
Lucas Thress 12.4% 12.5% 11.2% 11.0% 11.3% 9.6% 9.2% 9.0% 6.8% 5.3% 1.7%
Will Donovan 8.8% 7.5% 9.1% 9.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.3% 10.1% 10.1% 10.1% 5.5%
Isabelle Gautier 1.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 5.5% 8.8% 15.7% 49.5%
James Owen 5.7% 5.9% 5.1% 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 10.8% 9.2% 13.2% 15.7% 13.2%
Patrick Modin 4.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.6% 7.5% 7.8% 10.5% 14.0% 16.0% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.