Race 5A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Madeleine Rice 10.7% 9.9% 10.2% 9.7% 11.4% 9.8% 10.3% 8.8% 7.8% 8.6% 2.8%
Spencer Barnes 15.0% 15.3% 14.1% 12.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.3% 6.2% 5.0% 2.7% 0.9%
Benjamin Honig 13.8% 13.3% 12.6% 12.9% 12.2% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 5.5% 3.4% 0.9%
Thomas Green 9.3% 11.2% 9.1% 8.3% 9.2% 10.2% 11.0% 11.5% 9.6% 7.3% 3.1%
Lars Osell 9.2% 8.7% 8.7% 9.7% 10.1% 10.8% 9.8% 10.4% 10.0% 7.9% 4.7%
Lucas Thress 11.8% 11.1% 11.7% 12.4% 9.8% 10.8% 9.9% 9.0% 7.3% 5.1% 1.1%
Will Donovan 7.5% 8.6% 8.6% 9.3% 10.3% 9.7% 11.0% 9.8% 10.4% 9.9% 4.7%
John Majernik 9.4% 8.6% 10.8% 9.6% 10.0% 10.0% 10.2% 11.2% 8.2% 7.8% 4.2%
Isabelle Gautier 1.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.9% 4.0% 4.9% 5.0% 8.8% 13.9% 51.5%
James Owen 6.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.7% 6.6% 8.1% 8.4% 10.1% 13.2% 16.1% 14.0%
Patrick Modin 5.6% 5.5% 6.4% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 10.2% 14.1% 17.3% 12.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.