← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University1.24+2.18vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary1.29+1.22vs Predicted
-
3Queen's University1.77-0.53vs Predicted
-
4Penn State University0.13+1.17vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University0.38-0.26vs Predicted
-
6Ocean County College0.20-1.01vs Predicted
-
7Hampton University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.18Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
-
3.22William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
-
2.47Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
-
5.17Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.74Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
-
4.99Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
-
5.97Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
6.25University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 19.5% | 21.6% | 21.3% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.0% | 20.2% | 19.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 32.8% | 26.3% | 18.0% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 7.7% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 18.5% | 15.1% | 11.8% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 29.4% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 22.6% | 34.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.