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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Majernik 8.3% 9.3% 10.1% 9.5% 10.5% 12.0% 10.3% 11.1% 9.3% 6.3% 3.0%
Thomas Green 8.5% 10.5% 9.8% 10.5% 11.1% 8.8% 10.0% 10.0% 9.0% 8.1% 3.8%
James Owen 6.0% 5.8% 6.2% 6.7% 6.2% 8.0% 8.8% 10.8% 11.6% 17.8% 12.2%
Benjamin Honig 13.7% 13.8% 12.9% 12.7% 12.2% 10.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.3% 3.3% 0.7%
Lars Osell 8.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 10.8% 10.3% 10.3% 3.7%
Will Donovan 7.9% 8.8% 10.1% 9.4% 9.0% 10.4% 10.7% 9.3% 11.7% 8.3% 4.4%
Madeleine Rice 9.9% 9.8% 11.2% 9.3% 9.8% 10.9% 10.7% 9.8% 8.6% 6.9% 3.1%
Patrick Modin 5.3% 5.0% 5.8% 6.5% 6.6% 7.0% 8.8% 11.1% 14.1% 16.4% 13.4%
Spencer Barnes 17.0% 15.0% 11.8% 13.1% 11.1% 8.9% 8.3% 6.7% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Rebecca Runyan 1.8% 1.8% 2.3% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.8% 5.1% 8.3% 14.8% 52.9%
Lucas Thress 13.0% 11.4% 10.8% 10.9% 11.1% 10.0% 9.9% 8.8% 6.9% 5.3% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.