← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Villanova University1.24+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Ocean County College0.20+3.06vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary1.29+0.17vs Predicted
-
4Syracuse University0.38+0.78vs Predicted
-
5Queen's University1.77-2.53vs Predicted
-
6Hampton University-0.35-0.09vs Predicted
-
7Penn State University0.13-1.81vs Predicted
-
8University of Maryland-0.60-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
-
5.06Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
-
3.17William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
-
4.78Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
-
2.47Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
-
5.91Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
-
5.19Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
-
6.26University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 19.4% | 22.1% | 20.8% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 12.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.8% | 18.8% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 19.9% | 14.3% | 8.2% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 33.0% | 26.6% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 27.9% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 14.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 21.4% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.