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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.24+2.16vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.20+2.03vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.13+1.20vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.77-2.54vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.35-0.10vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.38-2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.21William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.03Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.2Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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2.46Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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5.9Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.79Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Celone | 20.5% | 19.8% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.1% | 19.0% | 20.1% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 12.0% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 14.0% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 33.4% | 25.8% | 17.4% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 28.2% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 10.1% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 23.8% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.