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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.54+4.01vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.88+2.34vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.51vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-0.25+5.37vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.71-1.47vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.18-0.94vs Predicted
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8Fordham University0.69-0.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.22-3.20vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.28-4.50vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-3.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.01Fordham University1.5412.4%1st Place
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4.34SUNY Maritime College1.8815.4%1st Place
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5.51University of Pennsylvania1.4510.6%1st Place
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9.37SUNY Maritime College-0.251.3%1st Place
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5.54Palm Beach Atlantic University1.269.6%1st Place
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4.53University of Pennsylvania1.7114.5%1st Place
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6.06Fordham University1.188.0%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University0.694.7%1st Place
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5.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.227.3%1st Place
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5.5University of Pennsylvania1.2810.8%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.485.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Thress | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
Spencer Barnes | 15.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
Madeleine Rice | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
Rebecca Runyan | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 54.6% |
Thomas Green | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
Benjamin Honig | 14.5% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Will Donovan | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
James Owen | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 12.3% |
Lars Osell | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
John Majernik | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Patrick Modin | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.