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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.78+6.85vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.47+7.06vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.31+5.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.17vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-0.08vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.81-0.58vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.48vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.00+0.90vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.69+3.99vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11+2.11vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-4.35vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.64-6.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-6.16vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.61-0.79vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.82-5.47vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.13-7.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.06Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.34Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.9SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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14.99University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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14.11Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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8.65University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.91College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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15.21Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.53Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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10.05Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Manchester | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Green | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| William Pilling | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 23.1% | 30.6% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 16.1% | 18.5% | 20.3% |
| Will Stocke | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Mac Mace | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| George Powell | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 20.7% | 34.9% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.