Race 8A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Will Donovan 7.4% 9.2% 9.7% 8.5% 8.6% 10.8% 10.4% 10.9% 10.5% 9.3% 4.7%
Thomas Green 9.4% 9.2% 10.2% 11.3% 9.2% 10.0% 11.1% 9.1% 10.3% 7.2% 3.1%
Spencer Barnes 16.8% 15.5% 11.9% 12.2% 12.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.7% 4.2% 3.0% 0.9%
Benjamin Honig 14.6% 15.0% 12.0% 11.6% 11.2% 9.7% 9.6% 7.2% 5.8% 2.4% 0.9%
James Owen 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% 10.2% 13.8% 17.5% 12.1%
Rebecca Runyan 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 3.5% 2.9% 3.9% 5.3% 7.8% 13.6% 55.4%
John Majernik 9.2% 9.0% 10.0% 10.0% 9.8% 9.8% 11.3% 10.2% 8.8% 8.8% 3.1%
Lucas Thress 13.0% 11.7% 12.6% 10.2% 10.9% 10.4% 9.3% 8.6% 7.4% 4.2% 1.6%
Lars Osell 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 9.8% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 10.4% 9.9% 9.7% 4.2%
Madeleine Rice 9.3% 9.6% 10.6% 11.5% 9.6% 10.2% 10.2% 10.4% 8.7% 7.3% 2.5%
Patrick Modin 5.3% 5.4% 6.2% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 8.3% 10.7% 12.7% 16.9% 11.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.