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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.24+1.27vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.16vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.20+1.08vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+0.16vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+0.30vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University0.38-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.27Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.16William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.08Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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5.16Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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6.3University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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4.63Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.3% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Celone | 18.8% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.3% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 18.6% | 18.9% | 11.2% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 20.7% | 11.6% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 39.0% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.1% | 21.9% | 29.5% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.