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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary1.29+2.12vs Predicted
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2Penn State University0.13+3.19vs Predicted
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3Queen's University1.77-0.53vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.24-0.75vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.20+0.07vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.38-1.30vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.19Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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2.47Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.25Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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5.07Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.7Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.97Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Guinn | 19.8% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 16.8% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 13.6% |
| Matthew Sullivan | 33.3% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 19.4% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 15.9% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 18.9% | 17.5% | 11.1% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 8.7% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 8.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 28.6% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.