Race 9A

jesuit-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Benjamin Honig 14.0% 13.9% 13.2% 10.5% 11.9% 10.5% 9.4% 7.1% 5.2% 3.4% 0.9%
Spencer Barnes 15.2% 14.5% 13.9% 12.4% 11.5% 9.2% 8.6% 5.9% 5.5% 2.4% 0.9%
Rebecca Runyan 2.5% 2.4% 2.3% 2.5% 2.5% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 8.3% 14.3% 50.4%
Thomas Green 10.3% 9.4% 10.8% 10.1% 9.3% 9.4% 10.7% 8.9% 10.2% 7.5% 3.3%
Lars Osell 8.4% 8.2% 9.3% 8.9% 9.3% 10.0% 9.9% 12.0% 10.5% 9.0% 4.4%
John Majernik 9.3% 9.4% 10.7% 10.2% 9.9% 10.9% 9.8% 9.8% 10.0% 7.0% 3.2%
Will Donovan 7.4% 10.4% 8.1% 9.4% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 10.1% 10.9% 9.3% 4.2%
Patrick Modin 4.5% 5.3% 5.7% 6.2% 6.8% 7.7% 9.8% 10.4% 11.5% 17.8% 14.2%
James Owen 5.5% 4.6% 5.1% 6.9% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 10.7% 12.6% 17.8% 13.1%
Lucas Thress 13.0% 12.0% 10.2% 12.4% 11.8% 9.6% 9.8% 7.7% 7.1% 4.6% 1.9%
Madeleine Rice 9.9% 9.8% 10.8% 10.4% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 11.2% 8.3% 6.9% 3.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.