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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.20vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.24+0.26vs Predicted
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4Hampton University-0.35+1.93vs Predicted
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5Penn State University0.13+0.18vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.20-1.03vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University0.38-2.24vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.2William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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3.26Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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5.93Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.97Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.76Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.9% | 24.8% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.0% | 20.1% | 20.3% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Celone | 18.7% | 19.2% | 21.7% | 15.5% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 21.3% | 28.4% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 12.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 15.0% | 9.2% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.