Race 10A

jesuit-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Green 9.3% 9.5% 9.8% 10.8% 9.2% 11.6% 9.9% 8.8% 8.5% 8.5% 3.9%
Will Donovan 7.6% 9.4% 8.2% 9.2% 9.5% 9.6% 10.8% 9.8% 11.8% 9.2% 4.9%
John Majernik 9.6% 9.2% 9.4% 9.4% 11.5% 9.3% 10.9% 10.5% 9.7% 7.4% 3.0%
Rebecca Runyan 2.2% 2.1% 2.5% 2.1% 2.5% 3.4% 4.9% 5.5% 8.6% 13.7% 52.5%
Madeleine Rice 9.8% 10.1% 11.1% 10.3% 11.8% 9.4% 9.3% 9.8% 8.8% 6.9% 2.6%
Patrick Modin 4.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 6.7% 8.5% 8.6% 11.0% 12.3% 17.0% 11.9%
James Owen 5.0% 5.3% 5.1% 5.5% 6.6% 8.4% 9.0% 11.5% 13.1% 17.2% 13.5%
Lucas Thress 11.5% 11.2% 12.2% 11.8% 11.5% 10.3% 8.6% 8.5% 7.5% 5.0% 1.9%
Lars Osell 8.8% 8.3% 8.5% 9.1% 8.6% 10.4% 10.1% 11.6% 10.8% 9.8% 4.0%
Spencer Barnes 16.6% 14.0% 14.5% 12.2% 11.1% 9.4% 9.3% 5.8% 3.9% 2.4% 0.9%
Benjamin Honig 14.9% 14.9% 11.9% 13.1% 11.1% 9.4% 8.6% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.