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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.43vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.24+1.28vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.29+0.18vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.13+1.17vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.20+0.05vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University0.38-1.32vs Predicted
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7Hampton University-0.35-1.02vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.28Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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3.18William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.17Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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5.05Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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4.68Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.98Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.24University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.8% | 25.5% | 18.1% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Celone | 18.8% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Scott Guinn | 20.0% | 20.2% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 13.8% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 16.9% | 11.4% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 22.8% | 29.0% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 34.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.