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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.43vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.21vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.13+2.15vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.24-0.72vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.38-0.32vs Predicted
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6Hampton University-0.35-0.05vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.20-1.94vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.60-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.43Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.21William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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5.15Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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3.28Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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4.68Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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5.95Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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5.06Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 34.7% | 25.9% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Guinn | 19.4% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 17.2% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| Sarah Celone | 18.7% | 19.6% | 18.9% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 7.6% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 21.3% | 28.7% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.5% | 17.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 23.1% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.