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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.39+2.79vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.36+5.70vs Predicted
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3University of Miami1.64+1.16vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+2.22vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+1.20vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.10+1.82vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+3.09vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.02-2.37vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.50-1.69vs Predicted
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10Florida State University0.50-2.62vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College-0.00-2.10vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-0.80-0.97vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-5.77vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.79Jacksonville University1.3920.7%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida0.365.0%1st Place
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4.16University of Miami1.6418.9%1st Place
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6.22Jacksonville University0.847.1%1st Place
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6.2Eckerd College0.908.8%1st Place
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7.82Rollins College0.105.5%1st Place
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10.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.1%1st Place
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5.63University of South Florida1.028.8%1st Place
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7.31University of South Florida0.505.4%1st Place
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7.38Florida State University0.505.7%1st Place
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8.9Eckerd College-0.003.5%1st Place
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11.03Embry-Riddle University-0.801.5%1st Place
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7.23Florida International University0.526.5%1st Place
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11.54Florida Institute of Technology-0.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Gordon Gurnell | 20.7% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ayla Weisberg | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
Steven Hardee | 18.9% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Stefanos Pappas | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Griffin Richardson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Carly Orhan | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.3% |
Jordan Byrd | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Luke Justin | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
Brady Parks | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
Tia Soultanakis | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 6.6% |
Tanner Cummings | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 27.9% |
Hudson Jenkins | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
Annslee Maloy | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.