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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gordon Gurnell 20.7% 17.4% 14.2% 13.4% 10.7% 8.7% 6.2% 3.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ayla Weisberg 5.0% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 6.5% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 10.3% 9.4% 8.8% 6.5% 2.8%
Steven Hardee 18.9% 15.6% 15.2% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5% 8.2% 5.5% 3.2% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Stefanos Pappas 7.1% 9.4% 10.1% 8.8% 9.8% 8.6% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 7.4% 6.2% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4%
Griffin Richardson 8.8% 8.2% 8.8% 8.9% 9.8% 8.8% 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 7.0% 5.1% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4%
Carly Orhan 5.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.6% 6.3% 8.2% 7.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.2% 9.8% 8.8% 6.7% 3.3%
Brandon DePalma 2.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.6% 4.2% 4.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.4% 10.7% 13.7% 15.3% 17.3%
Jordan Byrd 8.8% 10.9% 10.2% 11.2% 11.0% 10.2% 8.5% 8.4% 8.0% 4.8% 4.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.3%
Luke Justin 5.4% 6.3% 7.1% 7.3% 8.3% 7.8% 8.1% 8.5% 8.8% 9.2% 9.0% 8.0% 4.7% 1.8%
Brady Parks 5.7% 6.0% 6.3% 6.7% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.8% 8.9% 10.5% 8.2% 7.8% 5.1% 1.7%
Tia Soultanakis 3.5% 3.5% 3.1% 4.2% 5.6% 6.2% 6.8% 7.4% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 12.0% 11.4% 6.6%
Tanner Cummings 1.5% 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 1.8% 3.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 8.1% 12.2% 20.4% 27.9%
Hudson Jenkins 6.5% 6.7% 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 7.8% 9.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.7% 7.0% 4.5% 1.8%
Annslee Maloy 0.7% 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.8% 8.1% 10.8% 20.3% 35.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.