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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University1.77+1.44vs Predicted
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2William and Mary1.29+1.18vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.38+1.77vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.24-0.75vs Predicted
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5Hampton University-0.35+0.93vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.60+0.31vs Predicted
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7Penn State University0.13-1.82vs Predicted
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8Ocean County College0.20-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Queen's University1.770.3%1st Place
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3.18William and Mary1.290.2%1st Place
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4.77Syracuse University0.380.1%1st Place
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3.25Villanova University1.240.2%1st Place
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5.93Hampton University-0.350.0%1st Place
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6.31University of Maryland-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.18Penn State University0.130.1%1st Place
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4.93Ocean County College0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Sullivan | 33.6% | 25.4% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Scott Guinn | 19.3% | 21.2% | 19.4% | 18.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Woviotis | 7.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 16.8% | 16.4% | 8.6% |
| Sarah Celone | 19.1% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 19.1% | 13.3% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Jela-Ni McCarthy | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 24.6% | 25.4% |
| Jackson Dunitz | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 14.7% | 18.5% | 39.2% |
| Chris Pomerleau | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| Nicholas Rinaldi | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.