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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College0.90+5.14vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+2.19vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.19+2.21vs Predicted
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4Florida State University0.50+3.44vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.10+2.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.39-2.28vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.36+0.53vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.84-1.94vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.00-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.50-2.85vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-3.95vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.29-2.27vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-2.56+0.27vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Eckerd College0.908.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Miami1.6417.0%1st Place
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5.21University of South Florida1.1912.3%1st Place
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7.44Florida State University0.503.9%1st Place
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7.83Rollins College0.105.2%1st Place
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3.72Jacksonville University1.3920.4%1st Place
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7.53University of South Florida0.364.0%1st Place
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6.06Jacksonville University0.848.8%1st Place
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8.54Eckerd College-0.003.5%1st Place
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7.15University of South Florida0.506.1%1st Place
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7.05Florida International University0.526.8%1st Place
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9.73Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.0%1st Place
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13.27Embry-Riddle University-2.560.5%1st Place
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11.13Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Griffin Richardson | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Steven Hardee | 17.0% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Humberto Porrata | 12.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Brady Parks | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
Carly Orhan | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 1.1% |
Gordon Gurnell | 20.4% | 18.8% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ayla Weisberg | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
Stefanos Pappas | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Tia Soultanakis | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 1.8% |
Luke Justin | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Hudson Jenkins | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 19.1% | 5.5% |
Sergio Carli | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 10.0% | 77.3% |
Annslee Maloy | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 37.8% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.