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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Steven Hardee 17.2% 14.4% 14.8% 12.8% 10.8% 9.2% 7.5% 5.7% 3.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Gordon Gurnell 21.6% 20.4% 13.6% 12.2% 10.8% 8.0% 5.3% 3.7% 2.0% 1.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Stefanos Pappas 7.6% 7.8% 9.7% 9.4% 10.1% 9.4% 8.8% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.4% 0.1%
Brandon DePalma 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.5% 3.6% 4.5% 6.0% 7.4% 8.9% 12.9% 17.3% 17.7% 5.1%
Humberto Porrata 10.5% 10.2% 11.3% 10.8% 11.1% 10.1% 10.4% 8.2% 6.2% 5.1% 3.5% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Carly Orhan 5.0% 5.8% 6.4% 5.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 9.6% 10.3% 9.7% 10.8% 5.3% 0.7%
Brady Parks 5.7% 5.5% 6.4% 6.2% 8.4% 9.3% 7.9% 8.9% 11.5% 10.4% 8.2% 7.0% 4.0% 0.7%
Luke Justin 5.5% 5.7% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 8.1% 9.9% 9.0% 8.5% 9.7% 9.5% 7.0% 4.2% 0.4%
Griffin Richardson 8.6% 8.3% 8.9% 10.6% 8.2% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 9.6% 7.2% 5.5% 3.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Tia Soultanakis 3.4% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 4.8% 5.8% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 10.2% 12.3% 14.9% 10.9% 1.7%
Hudson Jenkins 5.9% 7.0% 6.6% 7.2% 7.5% 8.4% 8.9% 9.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.7% 7.3% 3.3% 0.2%
Ayla Weisberg 5.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 9.4% 8.5% 10.1% 9.0% 10.5% 8.8% 4.6% 0.3%
Annslee Maloy 0.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 8.9% 13.2% 37.1% 12.3%
Sergio Carli 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 2.1% 3.5% 9.7% 78.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.