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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami1.64+3.24vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.39+1.64vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.84+3.18vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+5.61vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.19+0.40vs Predicted
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6Rollins College0.10+1.66vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.50+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.50-0.81vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College0.90-2.87vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.00-1.31vs Predicted
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11Florida International University0.52-3.89vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.36-4.56vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.89vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-2.56-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24University of Miami1.6417.2%1st Place
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3.64Jacksonville University1.3921.6%1st Place
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6.18Jacksonville University0.847.6%1st Place
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9.61Florida Institute of Technology-0.292.8%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida1.1910.5%1st Place
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7.66Rollins College0.105.0%1st Place
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7.27Florida State University0.505.7%1st Place
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7.19University of South Florida0.505.5%1st Place
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6.13Eckerd College0.908.6%1st Place
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8.69Eckerd College-0.003.4%1st Place
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7.11Florida International University0.525.9%1st Place
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7.44University of South Florida0.365.2%1st Place
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11.11Florida Institute of Technology-0.990.9%1st Place
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13.33Embry-Riddle University-2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
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Steven Hardee | 17.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
Gordon Gurnell | 21.6% | 20.4% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Stefanos Pappas | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Brandon DePalma | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 5.1% |
Humberto Porrata | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Carly Orhan | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
Brady Parks | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
Luke Justin | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
Griffin Richardson | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
Tia Soultanakis | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 1.7% |
Hudson Jenkins | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
Ayla Weisberg | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 0.3% |
Annslee Maloy | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 37.1% | 12.3% |
Sergio Carli | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 9.7% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.