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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.19+4.29vs Predicted
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2University of Miami1.64+2.25vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College-0.00+5.98vs Predicted
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4Florida Institute of Technology-0.29+6.13vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College0.90+1.29vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.84+0.37vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida0.36+0.65vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.50-0.54vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.39-5.12vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.50-2.59vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-0.80+0.01vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.91vs Predicted
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13Florida International University0.52-5.77vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.10-6.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of South Florida1.1912.2%1st Place
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4.25University of Miami1.6415.1%1st Place
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8.98Eckerd College-0.003.2%1st Place
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10.13Florida Institute of Technology-0.291.9%1st Place
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6.29Eckerd College0.907.6%1st Place
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6.37Jacksonville University0.847.3%1st Place
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7.65University of South Florida0.366.8%1st Place
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7.46Florida State University0.506.2%1st Place
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3.88Jacksonville University1.3919.4%1st Place
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7.41University of South Florida0.505.8%1st Place
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11.01Embry-Riddle University-0.801.5%1st Place
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11.09Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.5%1st Place
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7.23Florida International University0.526.6%1st Place
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7.97Rollins College0.105.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Humberto Porrata | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Steven Hardee | 15.1% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Tia Soultanakis | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 7.0% |
| Brandon DePalma | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ayla Weisberg | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Brady Parks | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 19.4% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Justin | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Tanner Cummings | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 30.1% |
| William Mullray | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 31.6% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Carly Orhan | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.