← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+5.32vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+1.16vs Predicted
-
3Drexel University1.64+4.41vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College1.89+2.77vs Predicted
-
5Washington College2.45+0.29vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University2.11+0.26vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.85-2.91vs Predicted
-
8Columbia University1.30+0.24vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy1.22-0.37vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-0.22+1.92vs Predicted
-
11George Washington University2.67-6.28vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.55-1.71vs Predicted
-
13University of Rochester0.99-3.90vs Predicted
-
15University of Rochester0.99-5.90vs Predicted
-
16SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
-
3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.3%1st Place
-
7.41Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
-
6.77SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
-
5.29Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
-
6.26Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
-
4.09Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
-
8.24Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
8.63U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.92Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
-
4.72George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
-
10.29Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
-
9.1University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
-
12.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Neuman | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 26.2% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 8.9% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 16.2% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 28.7% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.3% | 14.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Loffredo | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 55.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.