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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Miami0.84+3.00vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.36+2.05vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.75+0.70vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+0.44vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+1.26vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.05-0.07vs Predicted
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8Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+0.82vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.52-3.77vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.97-0.84vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.41-0.55vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.51-1.50vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-1.81-1.74vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-2.23-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of South Florida1.4524.5%1st Place
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5.0University of Miami0.8411.3%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida0.3611.3%1st Place
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4.7Jacksonville University0.7513.2%1st Place
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5.44Jacksonville University0.4810.5%1st Place
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7.26Eckerd College-0.174.4%1st Place
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6.93Eckerd College-0.055.2%1st Place
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8.82Florida Institute of Technology-0.722.7%1st Place
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5.23University of South Florida0.529.6%1st Place
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9.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.972.9%1st Place
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10.45Florida State University-1.411.4%1st Place
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10.5Embry-Riddle University-1.511.4%1st Place
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11.26Rollins College-1.810.9%1st Place
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11.96Florida Institute of Technology-2.230.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 24.5% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 13.2% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lily Schwartz | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Godfry | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
| Brilan Christopher | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Martin | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 14.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 13.8% |
| Maggie Burnham | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 22.2% | 22.5% |
| Michael Dowling | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 19.1% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.