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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+5.30vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.85+2.09vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+2.17vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.75vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.11+1.23vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.22+2.73vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.50vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.64-0.55vs Predicted
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9Columbia University1.30-0.55vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.67-5.32vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.55-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.99-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.79vs Predicted
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14Syracuse University-0.22-2.21vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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4.09Cornell University2.850.2%1st Place
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5.17Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.3%1st Place
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6.23Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.5SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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7.45Drexel University1.640.1%1st Place
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8.45Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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4.68George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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10.34Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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11.79Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Neuman | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 16.8% | 15.3% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 25.1% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 18.7% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 12.7% | 32.4% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Loffredo | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 18.9% | 56.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.