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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.84+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.45+1.32vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.75+1.76vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.52+1.40vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.48+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.36-0.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.17+0.20vs Predicted
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8Rollins College-1.81+3.18vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College-0.05-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.97-0.72vs Predicted
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11Florida State University-1.41-0.63vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-3.32vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.51-2.43vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-2.23-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91University of Miami0.8411.2%1st Place
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3.32University of South Florida1.4523.8%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University0.7512.0%1st Place
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5.4University of South Florida0.529.8%1st Place
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5.46Jacksonville University0.4810.6%1st Place
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5.05University of South Florida0.3610.9%1st Place
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7.2Eckerd College-0.175.2%1st Place
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11.18Rollins College-1.811.2%1st Place
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6.87Eckerd College-0.055.6%1st Place
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9.28University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.972.4%1st Place
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10.37Florida State University-1.411.7%1st Place
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8.68Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.2%1st Place
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10.57Embry-Riddle University-1.511.4%1st Place
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11.94Florida Institute of Technology-2.230.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Ward | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 23.8% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 12.0% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brilan Christopher | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 10.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Erik Volk | 10.9% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Maggie Burnham | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 23.2% |
| Ethan Godfry | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Daniel Martin | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 5.1% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 11.2% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 13.9% |
| Michael Dowling | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.