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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.78+6.94vs Predicted
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2Webb Institute1.71+5.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+4.94vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+4.11vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.10+1.28vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57+2.48vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32-1.05vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.06-2.86vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University0.65+3.40vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.44-1.94vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.87-2.62vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.26-4.36vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.59-3.89vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.95-4.70vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.21-6.71vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94U. S. Naval Academy1.786.8%1st Place
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7.49Webb Institute1.717.1%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland1.687.3%1st Place
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8.11Fordham University1.626.4%1st Place
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6.28Jacksonville University2.1010.2%1st Place
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8.48North Carolina State University1.576.7%1st Place
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10.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.5%1st Place
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6.95University of Miami2.329.2%1st Place
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6.14Tulane University2.0611.2%1st Place
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13.4Christopher Newport University0.651.7%1st Place
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9.06George Washington University1.444.8%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont0.875.1%1st Place
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8.64Old Dominion University1.265.1%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.593.9%1st Place
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10.3Boston University0.953.9%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University1.215.5%1st Place
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12.92Hampton University0.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Kelly | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Calvin Schmid | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Zander King | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 33.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.