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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+7.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.81+5.63vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy4.16+3.31vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.64+4.09vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.08vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.00+4.73vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.47+1.81vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.84vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College4.05-2.59vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-2.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.31-1.41vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.78-4.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-4.26vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-4.08vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.11-1.20vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.69-0.91vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.82-5.45vs Predicted
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18Northwestern University1.61-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.91University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.31U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.09College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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10.73SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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13.8Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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15.09University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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11.55Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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15.12Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stocke | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Martin Sterling | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Eamon Glackin | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ted Green | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Burd | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| William Pilling | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 21.4% | 32.5% |
| Graham Gardner | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| George Powell | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 20.5% | 34.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.