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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.36+3.12vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.84+1.96vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.48+1.47vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.58+0.18vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.75-1.20vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College-0.05-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.97+1.30vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.72-0.48vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College-0.17-2.87vs Predicted
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11Embry-Riddle University-1.67-0.09vs Predicted
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12Florida State University-1.41-1.71vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-1.81-1.77vs Predicted
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14Florida Institute of Technology-2.23-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of South Florida1.4526.3%1st Place
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5.12University of South Florida0.3610.9%1st Place
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4.96University of Miami0.8411.2%1st Place
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5.47Jacksonville University0.488.6%1st Place
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5.18University of South Florida0.5810.6%1st Place
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4.8Jacksonville University0.7512.2%1st Place
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6.92Eckerd College-0.055.8%1st Place
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9.3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.971.9%1st Place
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8.52Florida Institute of Technology-0.723.1%1st Place
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7.13Eckerd College-0.175.2%1st Place
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10.91Embry-Riddle University-1.671.2%1st Place
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10.29Florida State University-1.411.3%1st Place
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11.23Rollins College-1.811.0%1st Place
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11.97Florida Institute of Technology-2.230.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 26.3% | 20.2% | 17.4% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Ward | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Thorsen | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Godfry | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Martin | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 5.5% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph McNaughton | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 17.3% | 15.7% | 11.3% |
| Maggie Burnham | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 22.1% | 22.4% |
| Michael Dowling | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 19.8% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.