Race 4B

eckerd

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Zachary Ward 10.8% 11.8% 9.8% 11.8% 11.6% 11.8% 9.0% 9.8% 7.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Liebel 9.5% 10.4% 10.0% 10.5% 11.7% 11.9% 11.6% 9.5% 5.6% 4.7% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Zachariah Schemel 23.0% 20.7% 17.9% 13.5% 9.7% 6.9% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Godfry 5.9% 6.3% 7.7% 8.2% 8.6% 8.3% 10.7% 10.9% 11.2% 10.3% 6.8% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Kathryn Thorsen 9.9% 11.5% 12.0% 11.6% 11.4% 10.2% 10.5% 8.6% 7.1% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lily Schwartz 5.7% 5.1% 6.5% 7.1% 7.3% 8.2% 9.3% 12.0% 11.7% 10.0% 9.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.2%
Thomas Pappas 13.3% 13.1% 12.8% 12.8% 10.8% 10.3% 10.0% 7.0% 4.5% 3.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Erik Volk 11.7% 10.9% 10.6% 10.8% 12.4% 12.2% 10.2% 8.3% 6.6% 3.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Joseph McNaughton 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 1.7% 2.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 5.9% 8.3% 11.3% 16.4% 21.6% 18.6%
Anthon Funderburk 3.5% 3.2% 3.8% 3.8% 4.4% 6.2% 7.2% 9.0% 10.2% 13.2% 12.7% 12.7% 8.0% 2.4%
Daniel Martin 2.3% 2.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.2% 6.3% 7.2% 10.8% 13.1% 14.6% 14.8% 9.7% 3.9%
Sailor Mohrman 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.5% 7.8% 11.2% 14.5% 17.0% 16.7% 11.3%
Michael Dowling 0.6% 0.6% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.7% 9.8% 10.7% 19.0% 40.5%
Maggie Burnham 1.2% 1.4% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.0% 6.5% 7.8% 10.2% 16.2% 21.2% 22.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.