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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+5.31vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+5.31vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.45+2.20vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+0.25vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-1.75vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.55+4.36vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.89-0.46vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.11-1.87vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.67-4.29vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.22+1.93vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.99-1.73vs Predicted
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12Columbia University1.30-3.56vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.99-3.73vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy1.22-5.48vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.88-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University1.640.0%1st Place
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5.2Washington College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.25Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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3.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.2%1st Place
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10.36Princeton University0.550.0%1st Place
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6.54SUNY Maritime College1.890.1%1st Place
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6.13Fordham University2.110.1%1st Place
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4.71George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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11.93Syracuse University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.44Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rochester0.990.0%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Military Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.78SUNY Stony Brook-0.880.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Neuman | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chris Myers | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 24.4% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Grasso | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| John Nothacker | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mia Cooper | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah McNomee | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Greenwald | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 31.2% | 28.6% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Luly | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Beckmann | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Mary Loffredo | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 19.2% | 56.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.