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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.45+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.36+2.92vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.84+2.01vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.75+0.76vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College-0.04+1.67vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College-0.17+1.18vs Predicted
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7Florida Institute of Technology-0.72+1.67vs Predicted
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8Florida State University-1.41+2.41vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.48-3.49vs Predicted
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10Florida Institute of Technology-2.23+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.97-1.56vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.52-6.70vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-1.81-1.80vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-1.51-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of South Florida1.4524.1%1st Place
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4.92University of South Florida0.3611.3%1st Place
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5.01University of Miami0.8412.0%1st Place
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4.76Jacksonville University0.7513.7%1st Place
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6.67Eckerd College-0.046.3%1st Place
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7.18Eckerd College-0.175.2%1st Place
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8.67Florida Institute of Technology-0.722.8%1st Place
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10.41Florida State University-1.411.5%1st Place
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5.51Jacksonville University0.489.7%1st Place
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12.05Florida Institute of Technology-2.230.5%1st Place
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9.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.971.8%1st Place
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5.3University of South Florida0.529.4%1st Place
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11.2Rollins College-1.810.9%1st Place
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10.61Embry-Riddle University-1.510.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 24.1% | 21.0% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Volk | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Ward | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Pappas | 13.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ronan Sulkin | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Lily Schwartz | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Anthon Funderburk | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% |
| Sailor Mohrman | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Dowling | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 41.1% |
| Daniel Martin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Brilan Christopher | 9.4% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Burnham | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 24.1% |
| Josh Rosen | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.