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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.73+5.68vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+0.92vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.60vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.90+2.06vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.92+0.92vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.58+1.52vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.14vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.09vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.68-2.33vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.09-1.73vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.69-1.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-0.97vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.32-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Tulane University1.736.2%1st Place
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2.92Stanford University3.3030.8%1st Place
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4.6Yale University2.5514.8%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University1.907.8%1st Place
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5.92Brown University1.928.5%1st Place
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7.52Boston College1.584.0%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.4%1st Place
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland1.765.3%1st Place
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6.67Cornell University1.685.3%1st Place
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8.27University of South Florida1.093.8%1st Place
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9.3Tufts University0.692.8%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College0.341.3%1st Place
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8.25George Washington University1.324.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Benson | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 30.8% | 21.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Libby Redmond | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 5.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| J.J. Smith | 5.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.7% | 8.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 17.9% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 17.6% | 46.8% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.