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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.69vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.57+3.77vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.43+3.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+3.16vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.06+2.62vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49+0.29vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.46-0.98vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.81-2.68vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+0.56vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.63-4.11vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.09-0.62vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-1.66vs Predicted
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13U. S. Military Academy-0.28-1.88vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-3.52vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.09-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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5.77SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.38Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.62Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.29Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.32Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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9.56Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.89George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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11.12U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 34.0% | 23.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 3.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 16.7% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 20.4% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.