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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.69vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+4.95vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+3.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.43+2.47vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.46+1.40vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.63vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.63-1.45vs Predicted
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8Drexel University1.06-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester0.09+1.40vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.57-4.01vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.09-0.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.28-0.76vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-2.44vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.40-4.69vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.09-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.23Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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6.4Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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5.37Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.55George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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7.45Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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5.99SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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10.38Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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11.24U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.56SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.31Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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10.4University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 34.0% | 24.1% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 18.1% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.