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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.70vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.43+4.20vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+4.13vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College1.57+2.02vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.49+1.34vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.81-0.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.46-0.96vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+2.51vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.40+0.57vs Predicted
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10Drexel University1.06-2.43vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-0.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.63-6.13vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-2.61vs Predicted
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14Princeton University0.09-3.77vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.28-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.7Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.34Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.37Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.04Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.57Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.57Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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5.87George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.39University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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10.23Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 33.9% | 24.7% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 9.8% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 23.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 20.4% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.