← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University1.90+5.15vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.55+2.62vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University3.30-0.05vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.75vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.09+3.13vs Predicted
-
6Boston College1.58+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Brown University1.92-1.03vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76-1.16vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University1.32-0.70vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.73-3.58vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University1.68-4.65vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.69-3.01vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College-1.02-0.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.15Harvard University1.907.0%1st Place
-
4.62Yale University2.5513.6%1st Place
-
2.95Stanford University3.3028.8%1st Place
-
6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.0%1st Place
-
8.13University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
-
7.21Boston College1.585.2%1st Place
-
5.97Brown University1.928.1%1st Place
-
6.84St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.8%1st Place
-
8.3George Washington University1.323.2%1st Place
-
6.42Tulane University1.735.9%1st Place
-
6.35Cornell University1.688.1%1st Place
-
8.99Tufts University0.693.2%1st Place
-
12.3Connecticut College-1.020.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Burn | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 28.8% | 22.1% | 16.5% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.1% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 3.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 1.5% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 1.1% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 4.3% |
| Caroline Benson | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 22.7% | 7.7% |
| Sophia Rey | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 78.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.