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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College1.57+4.93vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.63+3.65vs Predicted
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3Washington College1.81+2.28vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98-1.35vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.19+2.26vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49+0.33vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.46-0.93vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.09+2.19vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.43-2.53vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-0.42vs Predicted
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11Drexel University1.06-3.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.28-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of Rochester0.09-2.75vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-3.46vs Predicted
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15University of Rochester0.09-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.65George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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5.28Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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2.65Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.33Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.07Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.19Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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6.47Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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9.58Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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7.58Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.22U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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10.54SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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10.25University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Wallinder | 6.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 10.4% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 33.9% | 24.5% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Padraig Loughlin | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 29.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.