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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.46+5.05vs Predicted
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2Washington College1.81+2.96vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.63+2.60vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04+6.19vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98-2.37vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.43+0.29vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College1.57-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09+1.88vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.06-1.69vs Predicted
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10SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+0.45vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-4.95vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-2.12vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.09-2.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-0.28-3.10vs Predicted
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16Columbia University0.40-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.96Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.6George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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2.63Roger Williams University2.980.3%1st Place
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6.29Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.56SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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7.31Drexel University1.060.1%1st Place
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10.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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6.05Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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10.08Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.9U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.06Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Clark | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Draheim | 32.1% | 26.0% | 16.4% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 9.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 25.8% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.