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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.58vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.57+3.55vs Predicted
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3Drexel University1.06+4.23vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.43+2.19vs Predicted
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5Washington College1.81+0.18vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University1.49+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of Rochester0.09+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester0.09+1.80vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.04+1.27vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-0.71vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.63-5.36vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-0.28-0.96vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.09-2.89vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.46-7.98vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58Roger Williams University2.980.4%1st Place
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5.55SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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7.23Drexel University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.19Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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5.18Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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6.06Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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10.27SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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9.29Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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5.64George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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11.04U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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10.11Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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6.02Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 36.3% | 23.1% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 19.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 8.2% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 18.9% | 26.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.