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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.06+5.07vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland1.68+5.72vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.00+7.84vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87+5.30vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.59+5.34vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+0.85vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University2.10-0.64vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.62-0.03vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.26-0.45vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.78-1.99vs Predicted
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11Christopher Newport University0.65+2.40vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute1.71-4.51vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.21-3.84vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University1.57-5.36vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.95-4.68vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.44-7.02vs Predicted
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17Hampton University0.72-4.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Tulane University2.0610.5%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland1.687.0%1st Place
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10.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.003.0%1st Place
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9.3University of Vermont0.875.5%1st Place
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10.34Northeastern University1.593.7%1st Place
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6.85University of Miami2.328.8%1st Place
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6.36Jacksonville University2.1010.1%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.626.8%1st Place
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8.55Old Dominion University1.265.9%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy1.787.5%1st Place
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13.4Christopher Newport University0.651.3%1st Place
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7.49Webb Institute1.717.7%1st Place
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9.16Cornell University1.215.1%1st Place
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8.64North Carolina State University1.575.9%1st Place
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10.32Boston University0.954.0%1st Place
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8.98George Washington University1.445.2%1st Place
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13.0Hampton University0.721.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zander King | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Jensen | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Blake Goodwin | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Tanner Kelly | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Grace Watlington | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 32.7% |
| Calvin Schmid | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.2% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 15.5% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.