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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.00+9.87vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.31+7.70vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.47+6.01vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96+2.78vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy4.16+0.14vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania1.69+6.90vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.86vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-0.86vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.11+2.97vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-5.14vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-2.93vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.61+0.95vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.82-3.65vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.78-8.37vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.81-9.39vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.64-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.87SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.7Roger Williams University3.310.0%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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7.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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14.9University of Pennsylvania1.690.0%1st Place
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8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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13.97Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.86Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.07Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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14.95Northwestern University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.35Fordham University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.01College of Charleston3.640.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ted Green | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Thomas O'Bryan | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martin Sterling | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| William Pilling | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 11.9% | 21.9% | 32.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 6.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Rivlin | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 19.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Burd | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% |
| George Powell | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 18.9% | 34.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 4.0% |
| Christian Manchester | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Criezis | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mac Mace | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.