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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.62vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.57+3.56vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University1.49+2.94vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.06+3.29vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.46+1.13vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester0.09+4.13vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.81-2.13vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.63-2.44vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.43-2.80vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.40-0.71vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester0.09-0.87vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-1.81vs Predicted
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13Princeton University0.09-2.89vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-3.74vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-0.28-4.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Roger Williams University2.980.4%1st Place
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5.56SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.94Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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7.29Drexel University1.060.0%1st Place
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6.13Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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4.87Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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5.56George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.2Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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9.29Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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10.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
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10.11Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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10.84U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 35.4% | 24.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 8.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 3.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 20.2% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.