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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.98+1.60vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College1.57+3.57vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.43+3.16vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester0.09+6.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.46+1.15vs Predicted
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6Drexel University1.06+1.37vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.81-2.13vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.09+1.96vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-0.28+2.07vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.63-4.34vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University1.49-4.94vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester0.09-1.96vs Predicted
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13Columbia University0.40-3.79vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.04-3.74vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.04-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.6Roger Williams University2.980.4%1st Place
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5.57SUNY Maritime College1.570.1%1st Place
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6.16Fordham University1.430.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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6.15Cornell University1.460.1%1st Place
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7.37Drexel University1.060.1%1st Place
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4.87Washington College1.810.1%1st Place
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9.96Princeton University0.090.0%1st Place
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11.07U. S. Military Academy-0.280.0%1st Place
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5.66George Washington University1.630.1%1st Place
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6.06Syracuse University1.490.1%1st Place
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10.04University of Rochester0.090.0%1st Place
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9.21Columbia University0.400.0%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Stony Brook-0.040.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 35.7% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Wallinder | 8.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Sims | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Clark | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jakub Tyczynski | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Gross | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Russell | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjaim Helfand | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Pardini | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Pavlos | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Maranto | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Kyritsis | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mueller | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.