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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.77vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.55vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+7.86vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.23vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.78+2.25vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.32vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.52+0.93vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.26vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.18+0.29vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.36-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.38vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-2.02vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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15Wesleyan University2.71-2.99vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-8.89vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.36-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.86Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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4.89Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.93Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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9.8Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.01Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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13.24Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Alec Anderson | 15.0% | 14.1% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 14.3% | 12.7% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| William Bailey | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 18.2% | 28.3% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.