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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.86vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+0.98vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.55+1.66vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.76+2.95vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.58+2.31vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.68+0.53vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.69+2.28vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.09+0.44vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.32-0.69vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-3.38vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.92-4.83vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College0.34-1.16vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.90-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.636.9%1st Place
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2.98Stanford University3.3027.8%1st Place
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4.66Yale University2.5514.0%1st Place
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6.95St. Mary's College of Maryland1.766.1%1st Place
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7.31Boston College1.585.0%1st Place
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6.53Cornell University1.686.2%1st Place
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9.28Tufts University0.692.5%1st Place
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8.44University of South Florida1.093.5%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University1.323.8%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University1.738.2%1st Place
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6.17Brown University1.926.6%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College0.341.3%1st Place
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6.03Harvard University1.908.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Brock | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 27.8% | 23.2% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Cowles | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Madison Bashaw | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% |
| Samantha Jensen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 18.6% |
| Emma Shakespeare | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 10.2% |
| Emma AuBuchon | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 8.4% |
| Caroline Benson | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 45.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.