← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.98+6.13vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+10.23vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University4.71+0.81vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.18+5.42vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.92+1.43vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.78+1.25vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont3.63+0.64vs Predicted
-
9Wesleyan University2.71+2.83vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College3.52-0.75vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University4.08-4.17vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College4.05-4.82vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.05-2.14vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-6.30vs Predicted
-
15Yale University4.55-9.56vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.36-2.85vs Predicted
-
17Boston University3.03-5.99vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University3.36-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.13Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
13.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
-
4.81Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
10.42University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
-
7.43Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
8.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
8.64University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.83Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.25Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
6.83Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
10.86Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
-
5.44Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
-
13.15Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
-
11.01Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
9.82Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 17.3% | 27.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| John McGlynn | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 14.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Graham Landy | 13.8% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| Ian Towill | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.