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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.74vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.36+7.57vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+6.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University4.08+2.96vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+5.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.98-0.82vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.18vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-3.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.03-0.03vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.18-1.66vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.92-5.34vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-6.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.36-3.77vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University2.71-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.74Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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9.57Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.1Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.97Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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7.66Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.07Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Graham Landy | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Smith | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 8.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 28.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 15.5% | 25.7% |
| John McGlynn | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.