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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.21vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+4.95vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.18+7.35vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+4.66vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University4.71-0.25vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.07vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36+1.53vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-1.19vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University2.71+2.01vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-0.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-0.96vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.36+0.26vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-6.62vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.95vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.93vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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4.75Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.74Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.53Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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12.01Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.94Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.04Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.05Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.07Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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13.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 14.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.1% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 12.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 7.7% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 26.7% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.