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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.68vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+4.32vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.70vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.39vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+5.00vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.06vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-1.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.03+2.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+3.34vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+2.20vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.18-1.65vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.58vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-4.82vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-6.32vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.63-8.36vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University2.71-5.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.08Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.2Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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5.42Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.68Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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12.1Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 16.4% | 16.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| William Bailey | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 24.7% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 26.8% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| John McGlynn | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.