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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.26vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.03+7.93vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.75vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.92+2.35vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.98vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.06vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.49vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+4.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-2.05vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University2.71+1.11vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.05-1.17vs Predicted
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13Yale University4.55-7.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.18-3.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.36-5.33vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.82vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.36-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.26Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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7.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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5.02Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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13.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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7.95Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.11Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.83Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.4Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.54University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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9.67Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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13.19Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ian Towill | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.4% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 28.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| John McGlynn | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 15.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.4% |
| Graham Landy | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Jesse Thomas | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 26.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.