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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.18+6.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.86vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+1.71vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.02vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.55-2.68vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-1.52vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05+0.75vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-1.78vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.38vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-1.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.54vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-1.91vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University2.71-4.84vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University3.36-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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10.37University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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7.86Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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5.32Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.22Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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7.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.04Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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13.09Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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12.16Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.73Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 5.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| William Haeger | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Graham Landy | 13.6% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Michael Drumm | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 29.6% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 17.6% | 24.7% |
| John McGlynn | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 14.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.