Race 7B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brooke Schmelz 11.2% 11.0% 11.0% 10.3% 8.3% 10.5% 8.7% 6.8% 7.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.6% 0.9%
Megan Grimes 9.8% 10.1% 8.9% 9.7% 9.7% 9.3% 9.4% 8.2% 7.6% 6.2% 6.0% 3.2% 1.9%
Marbella Marlo 9.2% 10.3% 10.5% 9.6% 9.6% 10.0% 9.1% 9.4% 6.2% 6.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8%
Ellie Harned 13.6% 12.6% 11.3% 11.4% 10.2% 9.1% 8.5% 7.0% 5.8% 5.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5%
Sophia Devling 10.1% 11.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.3% 8.1% 9.8% 6.2% 6.8% 4.7% 2.5% 1.2%
Caroline Sibilly 14.9% 13.2% 13.5% 10.8% 10.9% 8.2% 7.8% 6.2% 5.3% 4.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.5%
Blaire McCarthy 4.6% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 8.9% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 9.6% 8.2%
Mia Hanes 6.9% 6.9% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 8.1% 7.9% 8.6% 9.8% 8.8% 7.8% 8.0% 5.7%
Annika Fedde 5.3% 4.1% 5.2% 5.2% 7.0% 6.0% 7.8% 7.7% 9.3% 11.0% 10.3% 11.2% 10.0%
Heidi Hicks 2.6% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 7.3% 8.1% 11.2% 15.3% 24.5%
Islay Van Dusen 5.0% 5.0% 4.8% 6.5% 5.5% 6.3% 7.2% 7.9% 9.7% 10.1% 11.9% 10.9% 9.2%
Aili Moffet 4.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 6.8% 8.8% 8.6% 10.8% 14.1% 16.0%
Cho-Cho Williams 2.9% 2.9% 4.0% 4.3% 5.1% 4.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.0% 8.7% 11.7% 16.6% 19.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.