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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+6.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+11.23vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+5.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.98+3.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.63+2.87vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05+0.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.44vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.18+1.63vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.71vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-0.32vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-7.07vs Predicted
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13Wesleyan University2.71-0.83vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-3.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.36-1.83vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.85vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.36-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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13.23U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.04Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.63University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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5.29Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.68Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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4.93Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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12.17Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.17Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.15Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.83Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 26.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Colin Smith | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| William Haeger | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Alex Whipple | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Graham Landy | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McGlynn | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 28.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.