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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.80vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+5.48vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.16+7.48vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+3.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.25vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-0.99vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.52+2.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.18+2.18vs Predicted
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9Wesleyan University2.71+3.29vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.36+2.25vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.63-3.34vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-3.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.87vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.13-5.29vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.98-10.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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5.25Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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5.01Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.14Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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12.29Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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13.25Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.91Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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8.13Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.71Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 14.0% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.4% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| John McGlynn | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 18.0% | 27.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 28.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 2.9% | 1.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.