← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University1.34+6.12vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+3.65vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.07+1.93vs Predicted
-
4Brown University1.80+3.90vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.79+0.94vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.96+2.13vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island0.79+1.60vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University1.16+0.06vs Predicted
-
9Yale University1.86-2.95vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University1.79-4.28vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.09-6.12vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.65-3.35vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida0.52-3.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.12Tulane University1.347.0%1st Place
-
5.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7710.8%1st Place
-
4.93Stanford University2.0714.2%1st Place
-
7.9Brown University1.805.1%1st Place
-
5.94Harvard University1.799.2%1st Place
-
8.13George Washington University0.964.9%1st Place
-
8.6University of Rhode Island0.794.0%1st Place
-
8.06Tufts University1.164.7%1st Place
-
6.05Yale University1.868.8%1st Place
-
5.72Cornell University1.7910.5%1st Place
-
4.88Boston College2.0913.6%1st Place
-
8.65Connecticut College0.654.4%1st Place
-
9.37University of South Florida0.523.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Hanes | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 14.2% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Islay Van Dusen | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.7% |
| Leah Rickard | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 14.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Aili Moffet | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Heidi Hicks | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.