Race 10B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ellie Harned 13.7% 11.1% 12.5% 11.2% 11.6% 10.2% 8.5% 6.1% 5.8% 4.6% 2.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Brooke Schmelz 11.1% 10.9% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 10.2% 8.6% 8.5% 5.8% 5.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.7%
Blaire McCarthy 5.1% 5.4% 5.6% 6.1% 6.5% 8.0% 8.0% 6.5% 9.3% 9.4% 10.8% 9.0% 10.4%
Sophia Devling 9.3% 10.9% 10.2% 8.9% 10.7% 8.3% 9.1% 9.1% 6.5% 7.2% 5.2% 3.0% 1.6%
Islay Van Dusen 4.2% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 5.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.2% 9.6% 8.7% 11.5% 14.0% 10.9%
Megan Grimes 9.4% 10.1% 8.6% 10.0% 8.9% 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 8.2% 7.3% 5.5% 4.1% 1.6%
Aili Moffet 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.5% 8.2% 10.7% 10.7% 13.2% 15.2%
Caroline Sibilly 13.1% 13.8% 13.3% 11.1% 10.3% 8.6% 8.9% 6.6% 5.7% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Marbella Marlo 11.6% 9.2% 9.0% 9.3% 9.2% 8.9% 9.7% 8.5% 8.3% 5.5% 5.1% 4.1% 1.7%
Leah Rickard 4.2% 4.2% 4.8% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 6.4% 7.5% 8.4% 9.3% 11.6% 13.4% 15.2%
Mia Hanes 7.3% 6.4% 7.6% 7.3% 8.0% 8.1% 6.9% 10.7% 7.6% 9.3% 8.2% 7.8% 4.8%
Annika Fedde 4.2% 6.2% 5.9% 6.8% 5.5% 7.4% 6.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.5% 9.7% 11.2% 10.2%
Heidi Hicks 2.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.7% 3.5% 4.5% 5.1% 4.7% 7.6% 9.0% 11.1% 14.4% 26.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.