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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.16+9.22vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.58vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+4.55vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University3.36+5.78vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.36+8.01vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+3.38vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.18+2.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.02vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.71vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-3.86vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-4.36vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-5.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-6.76vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-5.06vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University2.71-4.85vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.22Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.55Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.78Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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13.01Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.38Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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7.3Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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4.98Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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5.29Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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7.14Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.24Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.94Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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12.15Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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13.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 25.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Colin Smith | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Whipple | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Haeger | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% |
| John McGlynn | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.2% | 14.6% |
| Dylan Finneran | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.