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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.19vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.55+3.29vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.18+6.57vs Predicted
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5Wesleyan University2.71+6.99vs Predicted
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6Tufts University4.08+1.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+1.15vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.36+1.55vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.16+1.84vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.36+3.33vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.92-3.22vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.52-2.79vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-6.16vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-3.70vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.05-8.87vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.63-8.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81-6.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.29Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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4.88Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Rhode Island3.180.0%1st Place
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11.99Wesleyan University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.2Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.15Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.55Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.84Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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13.33Northeastern University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.21Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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7.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.3Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Graham Landy | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.4% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Alex Whipple | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| John McGlynn | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| William Haeger | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% |
| Jesse Thomas | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.7% | 27.7% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Fraser | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.