← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.49+7.44vs Predicted
-
2Brown University4.30+3.63vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.79+4.48vs Predicted
-
4Connecticut College3.44+4.83vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.70+2.72vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79+1.70vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-0.59vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.80-0.68vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont3.51-0.27vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College2.74+1.39vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.37-1.75vs Predicted
-
12Boston College4.12-5.73vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.54-1.79vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University3.95-8.02vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University2.34-3.29vs Predicted
-
17Wesleyan University1.45-1.91vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.93-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.44Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
5.63Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
7.48Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
8.83Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
-
7.72Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
-
6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.32Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
8.73University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
-
11.39Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.25Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
-
6.27Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
12.21Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
-
6.98Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
-
12.71Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
-
15.09Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
-
10.84University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Peter Miller | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Philip Crain | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 6.5% |
| William Hutchings | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 1.7% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.9% | 10.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 15.6% | 52.9% |
| James Simmons | 1.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.