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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.12+5.11vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.70+5.75vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+2.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.65vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+1.73vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+6.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.79+0.52vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.44+0.63vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74+2.62vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34+2.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-4.41vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-4.52vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.37-3.75vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.51-6.32vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-8.57vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.93-6.22vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University1.45-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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5.67Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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8.65Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.52Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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12.76Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont3.510.0%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.930.0%1st Place
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15.07Wesleyan University1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| William Macdonald | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 12.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Miller | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 8.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 13.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Philip Crain | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| James Simmons | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Lewis Fowler-Gerace | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.