Race 2C

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ximena Escobar 7.3% 8.2% 8.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.9% 10.1% 9.4% 8.1% 7.3% 6.6% 5.1% 2.1%
Sophie Fisher 16.1% 15.2% 14.5% 11.9% 12.2% 9.2% 6.0% 5.3% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Lucy Spearman 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 8.9% 8.1% 9.3% 8.2% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 7.0% 6.6% 3.9%
Brielle Willoughby 14.1% 13.0% 13.9% 12.8% 10.2% 10.2% 8.4% 6.1% 5.1% 3.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Scherer 5.9% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.0% 8.9% 7.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.5% 7.0% 8.9% 8.6% 12.6% 12.7% 20.5%
Cordelia Burn 16.6% 14.4% 13.2% 12.2% 10.1% 8.0% 7.8% 7.3% 4.7% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Lourdes Gallo 4.8% 4.8% 4.8% 4.9% 5.1% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 7.6% 9.8% 10.7% 12.4% 12.2%
Sophia Peck 4.5% 5.3% 4.9% 5.7% 6.6% 7.3% 7.3% 8.6% 9.0% 11.2% 10.1% 11.2% 8.5%
Avery Canavan 4.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.2% 7.0% 7.1% 8.2% 7.8% 8.9% 10.5% 10.9% 9.3% 8.2%
Lily Flack 3.9% 4.1% 4.8% 4.6% 5.7% 5.3% 5.9% 6.8% 9.0% 9.3% 11.5% 13.0% 16.2%
Izzy Wu-Karr 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 4.5% 6.2% 6.9% 8.6% 9.1% 11.5% 14.8% 19.2%
Kay Brunsvold 9.7% 10.1% 7.6% 10.5% 9.8% 9.8% 9.8% 8.9% 7.5% 6.3% 5.3% 3.3% 1.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.